<script src="http://ajax.googleapis.com/ajax/libs/jquery/1.11.0/jquery.min.js"></script>
<script>
$(function(){
var a = $('a[class^=ad-thumb]'),
id = a[ a.index($("a.ad-active"))+1 ].id;
alert(id);
});
</script>
<div class="ad-thumbs">
<ul class="ad-thumb-list" style="width: 1520px;">
<li>
<a href="" value="15" id="15" class="ad-thumb15 ad-active">
<span class="thumb"><i></i> <img nctype="thumb" title="" start_id="15" src="" style="opacity: 1;">
<input type="hidden" value=""></span>
</a>
</li>
<li>
<a href="" value="14" id="14" class="ad-thumb14">
<span class="thumb"><i></i> <img nctype="thumb" title="f02" start_id="14" src="" style="opacity: 0.7;">
<input type="hidden" value=""></span>
</a>
</li>
</ul>
</div>